A Nation with REAL Election Fraud

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

A Nation with REAL Election Fraud

 If you think the US has problems with election fraud and voter security, just look at what the residents of four Ukraine regions are facing: Armed Russian soldiers standing at the front door pointing a gun at you as you cast your vote, vote tallies done in secret by Russian military operatives, election results show more votes than voters in several regions, and in general, knowing that this election was a forgone conclusion and the result is that these four regions will soon be stripped from Ukraine and be annexed by Russia via “sham elections”.

Putin flips the scenario and uses a democratically run election against Ukraine and the West. 

See, these people want to be part of Russia”.

September 30th Update:  Today Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the annexation of the four regions of Ukraine where illegal referendums were voted on this past week.  In taking this predictable action, Putin has basically said to the Ukrainians and their supporters in the West, from this point forward, any attack on Russian forces or assets anywhere in these four regions will be treated by the Russians as direct attacks on Russia itself, therefore calling for the harshest response possible.

This has converted the war to a stand-down, posing the question of who will blink first?  Will the Ukrainians stop attacks on Russian forces in these regions – that’s highly doubtful – which means that the ball will be back in Russia’s court: how will the Russian respond?  This is also where Putin’s previous threats of Russia using a tactical nuclear strike comes into play, as that apparently is among his preferred options.

September 29th report – In literally a foregone conclusion, unsurprisingly Russia announced today (September 29th) that Vladimir Putin will hold a ceremony in Moscow tomorrow “formally” adding four Ukrainian provinces to the nation of Russia.  Those four regions – Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia (note: during our Mission 1.0 we were in the Kherson oblast/province) – recently held what was universally recognized as “sham elections” where the predominantly Russian-speaking citizens were encouraged and assisted to vote while Ukrainian-speaking residents were intimidated into not voting.

The result was predictable: the Kremlin is reporting that 72%-81% of the residents of these four provinces voted in favor of joining Russia.  The footprint of these four regions amount to approximately 15% of Ukraine overall, and before the Russian invasion approximately four million people lived in these four regions.  In all Putin proposes to raise the Russian flag over 38,600 square miles of Ukraine in what observers are reporting as his official way to elevate the stakes of this war by daring Ukraine and the West to attack what would then be Russian territory, making it the same as if Ukraine launched an attack inside of the current boundaries of Russia.  As Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated last Saturday, “Once the Russian flag flies over these areas, they qualify for the same level of protection as any other part of the Russian Federation.  What is particularly disturbed about that announcement is that Lavrov also went on to reiterate that Russia will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons if the Ukrainians continue their offensive in any of these four regions.

Not-so-surprisingly, these elections targeted the four regions where Ukraine’s counter-offensive have allowed Ukraine to purge nearly all of the Russian occupiers, and Putin and the Kremlin recognized that if they didn’t act quickly these four provinces would be totally controlled by Ukraine and the Russians would have to mount another major invasion to reclaim them, something that nearly all observers feel is impossible due to the depleted status of the Russian Military’s equipment, troops and morale.      And increasing the fighting like that – which would also result in a lot of new deaths of Russian soldiers (including those conscripted in this latest military draft) would cause Putin even greater problems at home as the Russian people are becoming increasingly intolerant of “Putin’s War”.

Clearly, Putin saw that a bloodless sham election was a much better way to lay claim to these territories, however feeble that hold may be.  What’s also clearer is that no one – no nation outside of Russia and perhaps a couple of their few allies will recognize these elections or the consequential subsequent addition of these provinces to Russia.

It’s likely that whatever public relations or military values that Putin gains as a result of this hollow effort will be short-lived, as there is still so many other very problematic factors opposing Russia’s overall plan: the looming persistent threat of a nuclear attack (or a nuclear accident at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant), the very unpopular Russian military draft, Russia now being accused of intentionally sabotaging the Nord Stream gas pipelines, the increasing rejection of Russian-anything by the West – and then of course, the most consequential factor working against Russia, the actual fighting itself.

Even with some new drafted soldiers entering the combat zone, Russia has yet to successfully defend any previously-held city or territory during this entire Ukrainian counter-offensive.

But without question, Putin’s use of this sham election to lay claim to four Ukrainian provinces, and then to issue the threat of treating any Ukrainian attack on Russian forces anywhere in these provinces as an attack on Russia itself – has resulted in a very high escalation of the war.  Clearly the stakes are now much higher for both Ukraine and Russia – and by extention the US and the rest of the world.

 

 

Saving Ukrainian Families One at a Time

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

A Life and Death Game of Monopoly

 In the Ukraine War it’s all about geography – who will end up with Crimea, and Donetsk-Luhansk?

As both armies dig in for what promises to be a brutal winter, not much will be decided until spring arrives – unless something “major” happens.  And unexpectedly, that “something major” may have just arrived in the form of an unprecedented $3 billion U.S. military aid package.

But another looming threat – a nuclear accident – may create major problems, especially for a peaceful end to this war.

BREAKING NEWS:  On August 23rd, the United States made a surprising announcement about sending Ukraine what amounts to the single largest tranche of military aid since the war began – $3 billion in funding from the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative – to be used to secure Ukraine’s longer-term strength and defensive posture.  These funds will cover contracts between Ukraine and private industry for drones, weapons, and other equipment, along with funds for training Ukrainian troops over the next two years.

But even more important, the U.S. timed the release of this aid funding for August 24th, Ukraine’s Independence Day, meant to send the Russians and the world the clear message that the U.S. is backing Ukraine for as long as the war requires.

As our Mission website followers will recognize, this newest aid package is coming on the heels of a $800 million aid package that was announced on August 20th (as described in our “Timely Mission Bulletin” from that same day). 

Clearly the timing of this latest aid package and the large dollar amount were decided as such to attain a maximum positive effect on the battlefield, and in the mind of Russia President Putin, and for reinforcing U.S.’s leadership-by-example among our Western allies.

Since this new aid package provides Ukraine with a new and very meaningful ability to change the outcome of the war (which is otherwise the primary focus of this article) I’m amending this article to first cover the news about the August 23rd U.S. aid package).

It didn’t take long for Ukraine observers to point out how well thought-out this aid package was, especially it’s size and it’s timing.  It was both strategic and tactical, and its audience included not just the Ukrainians (both military and civilian) and Americans, but also all of Europe and Russia, with the latter also obviously concluding that this messaging was intended specifically for President Vladimir Putin.  That point is often overlooked by everyday Americans, all they see is yet another government giveaway, and especially given how frequent these announcements have been, some uninformed Americans conclude that not much thought could be put into this high-volume spending.

However, in this instance with this latest aid package, actually the opposite is true, which illustrates just how politically savvy the U.S. government is with respect to Ukraine.  First and foremost, this aid package was intended to bolster not just the Ukrainian military’s capacity to fight a modern war, but also to elevate the spirits and morale of everyday Ukrainian soldiers; outside of actually sending American soldiers to Ukraine to fight alongside the Ukrainians, this massive military aid package could not possibly send a louder, more affirmative, more resounding message of support for the Ukrainian military and civilians (especially when one considers that a brutal winter is slowly descending upon Ukraine).

Why we are focusing our reporting on US military and humanitarian aid packages…beginning with the obvious: approximately 50% of the US aid destined for Ukraine is in the form of humanitarian and medical aid equipment and supplies, a small portion of which would be available to our Mission.  But in speaking specifically about the military aid, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken pointed out additional importance, “These military capabilities are carefully calibrated to make the most difference on the battlefield and strengthen Ukraine’s position at the negotiating table”. 

 There’s no question that as long as the war continues, the need for humanitarian aid will only increase significantly, so anything that brings about a peaceful end to this war is important to us and our Mission.

 However, this new aid package (along with the most recent, August 20th aid package) also carries greater significance to our interests because it demonstrably states that the U.S. is re-doubling its support for Ukraine by providing two very large aid packages in succession, with the funding and equipment now being for meeting not just Ukraine’s short-term need for ammunition and other expendable supplies, but also its mid-term and long-term needs in terms of equipment and training. 

 And it is timed to further arm Ukraine during this period when the war’s momentum has shifted decidedly in favor of the Ukrainians, and finally, it will provide the Ukrainian military with a psychological and military shot-in-the-arm, rewarding them for persistently beating a much larger, better armed foe on the battlefield.

Second, this aid package has a targeted message for the Ukrainian government, one that is further reaffirming that again, outside of sending U.S. troops to fight in Ukraine, the U.S. is totally committed to providing the maximum amount of military equipment and supplies to the Ukrainians – the best, most modern weapons, especially the long-range armament that has proven to be so consequential in Ukraine’s recent victories on the battlefield.  So, in a way this also can be seen as a reward given to the Ukraine military, for their courage and valor, their ability to quickly and expertly operate this modern sophisticated weaponry, and their ability to efficiently translate the results on the battlefield.

Third, this aid package has several messages for the American public imbedded in it and its announcement, all being driven by the realization by America’s government and military leaders that “Ukraine crisis fatigue” has begun to set in, and that they need to pull out all the stops in countering that negative messaging, which President Biden did quite effectively, telling Americans that the U.S. will stick by Ukraine regardless of how long the war lasts.  Obviously, the U.S. government needs to convince all American voters and elected officials of this needed resolve, but with a major mid-term election looming, whether that will succeed or not is still in question.

And there in that political realm, speaking now for myself and not our Mission, it is quite perplexing that the Republican Party, the political party that has much more so than the Democratic Party persistently opposed Russia and before that the Soviet Union, and Republicans have always been the most anti-communist political force in America – and yet in recent weeks I have heard the early rumblings by Republicans like Rand Paul questioning America’s support of Ukraine, and it appears as if that position has gained traction among some parts of the Republican Party, but there again, weren’t fervent right-wingers from the Republican Party always those who have quite often belligerently opposed Russia and its President – and these are the same people that are now questioning our support of a nation fighting Russia?  I’m confused and frustrated.

Another aspect of this latest U.S. aid package also offers something for those conservative hawks in Congress and those from the military industrial complex:  the funding for this latest $3 billion aid package was already approved months ago by a Congressional vote in support of Ukraine, to give the Ukrainians funding so that they can contract with private sector companies to purchase these weapons (that’s a bone to those who are fervent private sector, free market capitalism supporters).

Also, President Biden pointed out that this aid does not come as part of the drawdown of the U.S.’s own military equipment inventory, therefore alleviating any concerns that supplying Ukraine will not jeopardize the U.S. military’s ability to arm its own soldiers.

Fourth, another part of the intended messaging was clearly focused on Europe, where the U.S. again exhibits leadership by example.  Here Washington wants to show Europe that the U.S. is willing to commit sizable dollars for a war that is an ocean-and half-of-Eurasia away.  This may have had an effect already with the U.K., for on Ukraine’s Independence Day, Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced a $63.5 million military aid package, and shortly thereafter Sweden and Finland both offered new aid packages as well.

And last but certainly not least of the imbedded messaging in the latest U.S. $3 billion aid package was a very clear message being sent to Russia and President Vladimir Putin by the U.S.: “if you are fighting Ukraine, then you are also fighting the United States”, and “we will stand by our Ukrainian allies as long as it takes for them to win the war”.

That message was further reinforced because in this aid package, the U.S. again did not hide the fact that it was including in this package numerous long-range armament systems, along with greater air defense equipment – both of which allow Ukraine to effectively defeat whatever military effort the Russians are throwing at them.

That brings our discussion back to the arena where all of this matters even more – on the battlefield.

As the war reaches the sixth month mark since the Russian invasion, an overall stalemate has emerged, with Russia scoring more minor victories in the northeastern end of the fighting, while Ukraine has decidedly claimed victory in the southwestern end.  And with winter approaching, both sides are digging in to do battle against each other and the elements. But first, to put this new information into its greater context…

Depending on which “expert” one listens to (in our reporting we have purposefully excluded both Ukraine and Russia’s government information in our reporting due to their serious biases) the Ukraine war is entering the second or third stage of the fighting and while experts argue over which stage it really is, nearly all of them agree that Ukraine has prevailed…

…at least in the southern or southwestern portion of the country, where their July-August counteroffensive scored significant victories in pushing the Russians back across the front lines and back towards Russia, while at the same time succeeding in making numerous missile, rocket and conventional artillery attacks deep in Russian-controlled areas and destroying valuable military equipment (including six Russian jets at their Crimean tactical air base), along with munitions, fuel and other vital logistical supply-chain elements.

At the other end of the front lines, stretching from the badly battered city of Kharkiv (Ukraine’s second largest city with a pre-war population of 1.4 million) down to Luhansk and Donetsk, the epicenter of the overall war fighting is found in this stretch of the front lines, there Russia has accomplished more of its agenda, which is to literally destroy Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure and to terrorize the Ukrainians with brutal psychological warfare.

Below you will find a map depicting the latest status of the fighting, “The Ukraine War Status”.

Until the August 23rd major announcement of one of the war’s largest ever aid packages from the U.S. to Ukraine, the consensus was that in the next six months both sides will be fighting the elements as much as they are their military opponents, and this may well limit either side from gaining any meaningful ground until winter is over.

However, there are some who believe (this author included) that this newest $3 billion aid package, when combined with the last announcement of nearly one billion dollars in military aid will change that scenario somewhat significantly.  The belief is that these new supplies of ammunition and weapons (especially more of the long-range weaponry, such as the highly coveted HIMARS weapon system, and especially any aerial defense systems) will allow Ukraine to make one more major offensive push before winter sets in.  More than likely, that offensive move would take place in the southern portion of the fighting, along the front lines stretching from Mykolaiv and Kherson south to Crimea.

The Ukraine War Status – Looking forward from late-August until Spring

On the map below are shown the four regions of the War – each representing a different present-tense and future destiny, beginning with the “relatively safe” northern one-third of Ukraine (A), where life in major cities like Lviv and Kyiv will remain much as they are, only rarely experiencing Russian long-range missile attacks; the western half of this region will be the least changed by the war: closely aligned with Europe and solidly Ukrainian.  At the far eastern end of this region the story is somewhat different with Russia or their ally Belarus forming the entire border with Ukraine.  At any time, Russian forces could launch artillery or missile attacks across the border, or like they did in February, launch another ground invasion. Conditions in the central portion of Ukraine (B) is a blend of those on both sides – relatively safe and peaceful, but prone to vicious isolated Russian missile attacks like the one that devastated Vinnytsya. The next region southeast (C) will continue to experience significant fighting in the months ahead, but their long-term fate remains tied to greater Ukraine. The borders and contents of region D mirror the red-shaded footprint of the current active fighting.  Its long-term fate is up in the air, with Ukraine mostly prevailing in the southwest and Russia in the northeast.

The lynchpin: Crimea – it took until the sixth month of the war (August) for attention to be focused on Crimea, which came in the form of a concerted combined military-political Ukrainian effort, with President Zelensky boldly asserting that the war will not end until Crimea is in Ukrainian hands. He backed that pronouncement with weeks of isolated shelling of Russian military sites, causing significant damage to Russian military assets and a public relations nightmare for President Vladimir Putin.

Two renegade Russian-backed “republics” – the Donetsk People’s Republic and Luhansk People’s Republic declared independence from Ukraine in 2014 and have remained steadfastly supportive of Russia.

This region remains the main axis of the fighting and that will likely continue in the months ahead.  Experts agree it would take a very significant change in the war’s momentum in favor of Ukraine for this region to be re-occupied and ultimately retained by Ukraine at war’s end, but President Zelensky remains committed to doing that, and the new Western aid may help with that.

What’s unknown is if President Zelensky would be satisfied at the war’s end if Ukraine could keep Crimea but give up parts of or all of Luhansk and/or Donetsk.  This then becomes a deadly game of Monopoly.

Collateral Damage – the cities of Mykolaiv and Kherson, the former occupied by Ukraine and the latter Russia, typify the status and fate of a large number of small-to-mid-sized cities in southern Ukraine that will continue to remain severely battered but resilient in the months ahead; Kharkiv could share the same fate.

The Wild Card: the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant – Even before the war started, Ukraine and the West worried about Russia eventually using nuclear weapons – a real threat that still remains – however, over the past several weeks that morphed into a concern that conventional military attacks would cause a nuclear disaster to occur at Europe’s largest nuclear power facility.  Depending on all of the inherent variables associated with any kind of nuclear accident, there’s no way to determine just how disruptive this could be in determining where the war goes from there.  As such, the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant is the war’s primary wild card, while the other wild card is the size, nature, type, speed and frequency of the U.S.’s military aid packages.

As just noted, the only other factor that could also change the course of the war is how much additional military aid will be coming in the next 3-6 months from the U.S. and the West.  If the next 2-3 aid packages are of the type and size of this August 25th one, and especially if these aid packages include any number of advanced long-range weaponry or possibly tactical aircraft or possibly a more sophisticated aerial defense system, akin to Israel’s Iron Dome – all of which would substantially increase the Ukrainian’s chances of continuing to win more strategic battles than the Russians – then the winter would not be just a continuation of the overall stalemate.

For that we will just have to wait and see.

Obviously, our concern about the war’s status is best understood if we look at the war status as also being a humanitarian aid need status, where the greater the Russian attacks, the more land and civilian infrastructure they will destroy (and the more Ukrainians they will kill and injure), then the greater humanitarian aid need there will be.

At the other extreme end of the spectrum, if the Ukrainians (obviously armed with a great deal of military aid of the right type they get from the West) continue to score victory after victory, and especially if they are able to isolate Crimea from Russia.  And if in the north the Ukrainians are able to effectively destroy Russia’s supply depots and rear guard, thus isolating Russian troops on the front lines – then conceivably the negotiating table would be set in Ukraine’s favor.  If that happens while anti-war unrest inside Russia continues to rise (or if the Russian oligarchs tell Putin “enough is enough”), then Russia coming to the negotiating table is not unreasonable.

But when or if that happens, it is fairly certain that Ukrainian President Zelensky will remain steadfast in his requirement that Russia must return ALL Ukrainian land to Ukraine – including Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk – then that might be too steep a price for Putin to accept.

Time will tell, but the one factor that will absolutely remain the same and independent of all these other political and military factors is the weather – which WILL be brutal for both sides.  There the question will again be front-and-center presented to President Putin – are you going to make the same mistake again of launching a major offensive move in Ukraine during winter (as they did in invading Ukraine last February) – which in itself was a mistake of not learning the lessons of WWII.

In WWII, both the Soviet army and the German army made the mistake of trying to execute major winter offensive (and defensive) moves during winter(s), and both sides paid an incredibly grim cost for that.  The loss of life was no less than staggering as on the Soviet side, 7 million soldiers died in combat while another 3.6 million died in German POW camps.  The Germans lost 4 million in action, while another 3 million died in Soviet gulags.

In another analogy to the current war in Ukraine, civilians suffered horribly during WWII because of the nature of both Germany’s and Soviet’s occupation policies, again with the vast majority of deaths occurring in winter.  Around 15 million Soviet civilians were killed, while 3 million Poles were killed along with another 3 million Jewish Poles, while German civilian deaths topped 2 million.

As the National Interest Organization best put it, “Statistics of this magnitude are inevitably imprecise, and scholars on all sides of the war continue to debate the size of military and civilian losses. There is little question, however, that the War in the East was the most brutal conflict ever endured by humankind”.

While the current war in Ukraine is being fought on a much smaller scale than WWII, the point is still the same: wars fought with these classic WWII-type massive ground and artillery assaults, especially when conducted during winter and with an enormous civilian population at risk, result in an enormous death toll.  Military experts were dumbfounded when Putin replayed this same war strategy when the invasion began, and even more confounded by the fact that Putin has persisted in using these brutal military gambits throughout this war – and it appears as if he is still sticking with this strategy as the Ukraine winter sets in.

Therefore, in watching this deadly game of Monopoly playing out, we will be paying very close attention to the evolution of the following factors:

First and foremost, we will focus on Crimea, along with Kherson and Mykolaiv, and we will continually track this see-saw fighting, where presently Ukrainian forces are using long-range artillery and rockets to strike what previously were untouchable military targets, while Russia appears to be unprepared to defend against this. In another of Russia’s perplexing war strategies (or lack thereof), despite Crimea being physically connected to Russia (by bridge), the Russians apparently have not adequately staffed this region, reducing their defensive capabilities, and that in-part is what resulted in Ukraine destroying a significant number of military sites on the peninsula in the past 2-3 weeks.  Throughout this, we should keep in mind the fact that Ukrainian President Zelensky has insisted that there will be no end to the war until and unless the Russians return Crimea, and that apparently remains as a bridge-too-far for Russian President Putin.

Associated with Crimea both geographically and strategically are Kherson (Russian-controlled but under persistent fierce attack by a Ukrainian counter-offensive) and Mykolaiv (Ukraine-controlled but subject to sporadic missile and rocket attacks).  It appears to be Ukraine’s strategy here is to continue to press southward from Mykolaiv, aided by long-range artillery and rocket attacks, continually forcing the Russians to retreat to a point where the Ukrainians will regain control of Kherson.  From there it appears that Ukraine will establish a new base of operations from which they will pursue control of Crimea.

Second, we will continue to monitor the action occurring in the “main axis” of the front-line combat, primarily in the Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts. There Russia seems to be much better prepared on both the offensive and defensive side of the fighting, which is perhaps why they have won more battles than they have lost in this region.  We need to keep in mind that in these oblasts, Russia is uniquely benefitting from the fact that a sizable portion of the residents there are either supportive or sympathetic to the Russian’s efforts.  But by the time winter sets in it is doubtful that the Russians will gain much more new ground primarily because they have persistently under-performed militarily speaking, and that is most likely to continue.  One thing to watch however, is that without much fan-fare, President Putin out out a call to enlist another 110,000 soldiers, which could well be desited for assignment either in this northern axis of the fighting (to secure their hold on Luhansk and Donetsk) or down south where they could defend Kherson, and ultimately, Crimea.

Third, we will of course stay closely tuned to the fighting in and around the region where the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is located. Slight progress has been made in allowing UN inspectors to conduct safety status checks, but little else has been done to lessen the threat, which would be existential for a major portion of Ukraine.

But just as the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant was seldom if ever mentioned in coverage of the war since the late-February Russian invasion, we need to recognize that there are three other nuclear power plants in Ukraine, and while none are presently situated in areas experiencing daily warfare, other than that there is nothing preventing them from being held hostage by threats of Russian attack.

 

I will end this article appropriately by asking the question:  “What would a Ukraine victory over Russia look like?”  The answer to that question I found in one of the best overall articles I have found on this topic – at the 19fortyfive.com website in an August 27th article written by Steve Balestrieri.

“The Russian invasion of Ukraine is now grinding on into its seventh month. While many analysts believed that the country would fall within weeks, the Ukrainians proved that they were much better prepared than in 2014.  Russia hoped to blitzkrieg Kyiv and Kharkiv in the war’s earliest days. They were repulsed by horrendous losses of troops and equipment. They took Kherson in the south thanks to some Ukrainian officials that were sympathetic to Russia.

However, the war then turned into a protracted stalemate. Russian troop advances would be measured in yards per day as they would blast small areas with concentrated artillery and missile strikes. Back about a month ago, I wrote in these digital pages that with the massive artillery strikes the Russians are conducting, it was fair to question how long their artillery barrels would last. Keep in mind that their manufacturing is decidedly inferior to Western arms makers.

There are still splits on whether Russia or Ukraine can actually “win” the war. So, what would a Ukrainian victory look like?

With Western Europe being large consumers of Russian gas, there are shortages everywhere which are causing inflation to rise. This is why some Europeans and many Africans urging Ukraine to agree to cede the territory lost to buy peace by appeasing Putin. That is precisely what Putin is waiting for. A cold winter with fuel shortages and rising prices will cause Western Europeans to tire of the war and force Kyiv to accept a favorable settlement to Moscow.

Europe should know that appeasement doesn’t work with authoritarian rulers with dreams of imperial conquest. England and France negotiated a concession of part of Czechoslovakia without their consent in 1938 against Hitler. When returning from Munich, UK Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain promised his people “peace in our time” while waving the paper with the agreement. Less than a year later, Britain and France were at war with Germany.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said earlier this week that Kyiv would not agree to any proposal to freeze the current frontlines to appease Moscow. Because even if Putin and Zelensky agree to a stop of conflict where the lines now lay, there is no reason to believe he won’t continue his imperialistic actions in the future. He needs to be stopped and pushed back.

Putin is not suicidal, nor is he the irrational leader that was the previous line of thought. He’s pragmatic, and all of his actions are carefully thought out. With the added weaponry that Ukraine’s armed forces needs, it is entirely possible that they can throw the Russians back to at least the starting point of the war.

Crimea, however, a goal that President Zelensky has reiterated several times as a goal in retaking, is, for now, probably going to have to wait. “The war began in Crimea — and it will also end there,” he said. Kherson is, however, a different story.

With the Ukrainians rendering the bridges connecting Kherson to Russia’s supply lines in Crimea unusable, Moscow has been reduced to re-supplying its forces via pontoon bridges. Those are highly vulnerable to artillery or missile strikes. Russian forces could become stranded in the city, making them vulnerable to a counter-attack. Two weeks ago, there were reports that Russian commanders of troops in Kherson withdrew their headquarters to the eastern shore of the Dnieper River.

The Ukrainians can win the war, but they will need far more help to do so. War is ultimately about will, logistics, and strategy. “The line between disorder and order lies in logistics…” – Sun Tzu. They have the will. But they have enough logistics? Time will tell.

Reporting by Steve Balestrieri for 19fortyfive.com

 

 

 

 

Saving Ukrainian Families One at a Time

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

…beginning with the Yalov family, one of more than a thousand “double-orphaned” families, where our dogged persistence overcame a nearly impossible set of circumstances in our four-month search for these five lost siblings, so it was no less than fate that finally brought us together in Drohobych.

Finally, after four months, one week and two days, I fulfilled

a promise I made to their Mother’s spirit

Back in March, little did I know that the video news report that I was watching would change my life as no other single trigger ever had, for in that three-minute CNN video, I witnessed how one Ukrainian family would come to characterize those Ukrainians most impacted by the unthinkable horrors caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine – and right then and there I decided that I could not just look away from this awful tragedy – neither of the tragedies – the war itself or its impact on this one family and others like them.

To understand the profound significance of this, please watch this video first:

Such was the birth of our Mission, and while I didn’t yet know how we were going to reach the thousands of families torn about by this brutal war, I decided that if I could do nothing else for the Ukrainians, I would at least try to save this one fractured family.  Little did I know that this mission within a mission would take four months and traveling halfway around the world to accomplish, but when I finally met up with Viacheslav Yalov in Drohobych…

it was as if a dream had come true.

Our smiling faces in this photo are a fitting spoiler for the end results of our four-month search that ensued after I first watched Viacheslav’s heart-wrenching video.

Sadly, the tragic beginning to their story is but one of thousands like it, as the Russians have made theirs a mission of terror, and even more tragically, most of those impacted Ukrainian families will not have this same happy ending.

For those of you who cannot view this video, here’s an abridged version of their story:  With their Father killed in the opening weeks of the War, Slava’s mother did her best to take care of him and his four siblings in their home in the far southeastern region of Ukraine.  One day, Slava and his mother left in search of food and other aid supplies when a Russian artillery attack ensued which fatally injured Slava’s mother, and hours later, she died in his arms.

Since the Russian attack was still ongoing, Slava could only bury his mother in a shallow, makeshift grave (in what ironically was a hole left by an artillery explosion), then he had to go home and explain to his siblings what had happened.

You really owe it to yourself to watch this video, because there you’ll see the raw, organic emotions that were overwhelming Slava as he re-told their story.

With no living relatives and all their friends either dead or being refugees living elsewhere, Slava had to borrow money to move his family to a safer area, and the government provided them with a small, one-bedroom flat in Drohobych, where we found them.

The Yalov Family’s Trail of Tears

With both of their parents dead, their home destroyed and with their village in the path of the advancing Russian army, Slava made the decision to lead his family to somewhere safer to live.  That trek took them more than 700 miles to Drohobych, where we met up with them.

It was one part of this video in particular which

spoke to me the loudest – in that excerpt, Viacheslav talked about his belief that his mother’s spirit was always nearby, “…helping me, somehow”.

Right then and there I was so moved by what I was watching that I established our Mission and committed it to be that “somehow”, because halfway around the world I too felt her presence, and it was this spiritual connection that guided me all the way to Drohobych.

Last March I promised Viacheslav’s mother’s spirit that I would go find her children and make sure that they would be taken care of and have a life like what she had always envisioned for them.

But one would think – I sure did – that after traveling halfway around the world and spending four months trying to find this splintered family – that when I finally met up with them in Drohobych I thought that all the challenges were behind me.  But this would not be, and in discovering this I learned an important lesson about the Ukrainian people as a whole and the plight of these Ukrainian double orphans in particular.

When Markiian my interpreter and I first met Viacheslav and offered our aid, he was at first hesitant, even going so far as asking me what I would get out of this, what I expected in return for helping him.  This truly stunned me as I was totally unprepared for being asked what the motive behind my charitable offer was or being asked what I was getting out of it.

Later that evening, when we re-joined our other Mission Team Members, we discussed Viacheslav’s initial reluctance, and there I was able to understand that the Ukrainian people are above all else complex, but front and center they are a very proud people.

But pride alone was not what I felt the most in thinking back to what Slava said, so in probing deeper, I discovered that his questioning my motives for helping him and his family was more rooted in the dark side of this saga of Ukraine’s “internal refugees”, where a few evil Ukrainians take advantage of traumatized children.  Without someone to look after them and without any guidance, protection or money, apparently some people who had previously approached Slava with promises of assistance were for want of a better term: predators.

But as Anatoly, the eldest (and perhaps wisest) of our Ukrainian Team Members added, “what we are seeing is more likely to be evidence of something deeper, something ingrained in our Ukrainian culture.  I think what we are seeing is a repercussion of our nation being under the Russian’s thumb – and before that, under the Soviet Union’s thumb – for so long.  There in that larger context one finds that Russia and before it the Soviet Union never gave Ukrainians anything of value without demanding something in return, a barter decidedly one-sided where the scales were always tipped in favor of the Russians”.

Fortunately, in our entire time in Ukraine this was the only time we encountered this dark side of the saga of Ukraine’s “internal refugees”.  And whether Slava responded the way he did because of these or any number of other reasons, clearly by default he was already assuming at least part of the parental role he will be called upon countless times in the future to play – to protect his vulnerable family from those trying to take advantage of them.

But apparently my story and especially the lengths I went to in finding him allowed a small crack to form in his wall of self-defense.  The more we talked, the more the crack grew wider…albeit slowly.

But I recall the one instance when that crack widened enough to let me inside of his protective fortress:  during the first hour after we met, I saw where no amount of talking had thawed his defensive posture, so I turned to another approach where I first showed him pictures of my own (grown) children, and then I showed him the pictures of my five grandchildren, the youngest of which is about the same age as his youngest sister, Olivia, and they looked very similar – and judging from his slowly growing smile, he saw that too.

Then, in what would otherwise just be small informal gesture, when I posed a question, again using his full first name, “Viacheslav”, he politely interrupted me and said, “You can call me Slava”.  (Markiian, my interpreter, later told me that Slava is a nickname for Viacheslav, but it means even more in this context, it was another sign of welcome into his personal world.)

Everything changed after that.  The smile that I had seen none of in our first hour together was now a permanent fixture on his face, and short answers grew to become long narratives, where he began to me all about things in his world.  Front and center of Slava’s life was clearly his family.  So here is what is at the heart of Slava’s world – his family – the family that we are now helping – from left to right, Nicole, Slava, Olivia, Timur and Danielo.

Perhaps it was because my youngest granddaughter looks very similar to Slava’s youngest sibling, but regardless, Olivia immediately won over my heart…

…and so, if there ever is a poster child for our Ukraine Mission, for me this is that child – and how appropriate, seeing as saving she and her family were the reason why I started this Mission in the first place.

But this beautiful, little, innocent girl also serves as a grim reminder that there are thousands upon thousands of Ukrainian children who have shared the same fate as Olivia.  According to latest estimates coming from the Ukrainian government, currently there are more than forty-thousand children who have been orphaned by the war.

Forty thousand.  That’s nearly ten thousand a month, which makes for this shocking statistic:

On average, every day in Ukraine more than 300 Ukrainian children are left orphaned by the war.

Here’s another similar story that will tear your heart apart:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-little-girls-orphaned-by-ukraines-war

Equally appalling is the fact that since the late-February Russian invasion, an additional ten thousand Ukrainian children have been taken against their will – that is, kidnapped and taken to Russia and put in orphanages there.

Here is their story:

https//euromadienpress.com/2022/08/15russian-forces-have-seized-and-taken-to-russia-5100-ukrainian-orphans-hereasymchuk-says/

https://euromaidanpress.com/2022/07/20/ukraine-could-return-only-46-children-out-of-thousands-who-were-forcibly-deported-to-russia/

Fortunately, there are a few very reputable organizations that are tending to this grave problem, including these two:

www.ukraineorphans.org

www.ukraineorphans.org

Since I returned from Ukraine I have been keeping in touch with Slava as much as possible – which is a challenge into itself, beginning with the fact that Slava doesn’t speak (or write) English, and I don’t speak/write Ukrainian, along with the fact that the only reliable medium for communicating is by WhatsApp (internet connection in Drohobych and the majority of rural Ukraine is non-existent, same for email access, and there is no regular mail service or even FedEx/UPS)…so just to give you an idea as to what it takes to simply converse with Slava:

  • Imagine needing to communicate very personal, heartfelt thoughts (and condolences) to a young man who six months ago was a relatively carefree teenager but today finds himself thrust into the role of both parents, in tending to all of the needs of his four brothers and sisters,
  • and how you, as someone totally unknown, someone truly foreign to him would like to respectfully offer your help without insulting his pride and despite his serious reservations about taking gifts from strangers,
  • and having to communicate this by writing, not talking, and in an entirely different dialect, an entirely, truly foreign language, and doing so where you cannot see him and vice versa, and you can’t hear him and vice versa, and you can only read what he has typed and vice versa.

Yes, it is difficult, but I am so motivated to help Slava’s family that none of this has lessened my zeal or my persistence.  Not one bit.  In the most recent of our weekly “WhatsApp messages”, Slava has explained to me how they had been living off donations as he struggles to juggle “parenting” and trying to find a job with a compatible work schedule so that he can be there when Nicole, Timur and Olivia finish school for the day.  Like he said to me in his last letter: “I need to find out how to live all over again, because all I know is how a teenager lives his life, and now I need to learn how a parent lives his life.”

I in-turn have also told him that I personally, along with some other Mission donors would like to pay for them moving into a home or apartment that better suits a family of five (the only place the Ukrainian government could find for them is a one-bedroom apartment).  I have also offered to buy them a couple computers, and to buy Slava a motor-scooter so that he can better get to and from work, and I offered to pay for a tutor to help Nicole and Timur in particular.

In all of this, we cannot forget that Slava and his entire family had nothing except for the clothes on their backs when they fled their eastern Ukraine home last March – all of their belongings, everything from their toothbrushes to their family heirlooms were either destroyed by Russia’s persistent rocket, artillery and missile attacks, or simply left behind because they could only keep what they could carry.

So ANYTHING that we can provide them, any and all will be meeting vital needs and greatly appreciated.

In what I can only see as a furthering of our connection, in his last letter Slava talked about his and his family’s future, and how he would like to someday, somehow (there’s that word again) be able to go to college in Kyiv, but in telling me that he ended the sentence with, “…but I don’t even know how to get started on that.”

So again I assured Slava that he could count on myself and our Mission supporters to help him figure that out, and that we would work closely with him to lay out the goals for his family and then figure out how to accomplish them.  Please stay tuned and keep an eye out for my continued reporting on the fate of Slava and his wonderful family.

In closing I want to say that I am so proud of our Mission for accomplishing this, and in proving the near limitless Power of One, how when one person puts his mind to something can achieve incredible results.  And in Slava, we have found another person who epitomizes The Power of One.

Here you are looking at a hero of mine, a courageous young man who epitomizes The Power of One.

It is nearly impossible to fully appreciate all that he has accomplished in just the past four months, but nonetheless, as competent as he is, he still needs our support.

In that respect, just think – if he was able to accomplish what he did with nothing, just think what we can accomplish with our support.

I personally, along with all our Mission supporters are honored and humbled to know Slava, and we are blessed to be in this position of assisting him and his family start their lives anew while honoring the past.

In helping him as we are, I feel that I have at least initially fulfilled the promise that I made to his Mother’s spirit back in March, to make sure that her children will be loved and taken care of just as she would if she were still alive.

Throughout this ordeal, Slava and I repeatedly called-upon her to be our higher power and guide us in the right direction – and seeing what we have been able to accomplish, it is clear that she has done all that and much, much more.

The ‘Other’ Existential Nuclear Threat

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

The ‘other’ existential nuclear threat to Ukraine, Europe and the world may be an even greater one than the threat that Russia would use nuclear weapons.

The ‘other’ existential nuclear threat to Ukraine, Europe and the world may be an even greater one than the threat that Russia would use nuclear weapons.

Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, Ukrainians and the West have persistently worried about pushing Russia too far too fast, and they retaliate by elevating the war with a nuclear weapons attack – however, an even greater existential nuclear threat is already being played-out as Russia continues to launch artillery, missile and rocket attacks around the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.

The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is the largest of Ukraine’s four functioning nuclear power plants, featuring six nuclear reactors representing 46% of the reactors in operation.  Due to persistent Russian shelling in and around the power plant, the head of the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog called the Zaporizhzhia situation as being “alarming” and “grave”.

What is the greatest concern?

As recent as August 12th, CNN’s reporting on this growing calamity quoted International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi warning that parts of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant had been knocked out due to recent attacks, risking an “unacceptable” potential radiation leak.

“IAEA experts believe that there is no immediate threat to nuclear safety,” but “that could change at any moment,” Grossi said.

The Zaporizhzhia facility — the largest nuclear plant in Europe — occupies an extensive site on the Dnipro River near the Russian-occupied city of Enerhodar. It has continued operating at reduced capacity since Russian forces captured it early in March, with Ukrainian technicians remaining at work.

Russia and Ukraine have so far been unwilling to agree to an IAEA inspection of the plant and have accused each other of shelling the facility — action the IAEA has said breaches “indispensable nuclear safety and security pillars.”

Grossi, warned this week that the situation was becoming more perilous day by day at the Zaporizhzhia plant.

“Every principle of nuclear safety has been violated” at the plant, he said. “What is at stake is extremely serious.”

Before the Russian invasion, the six reactors at the Zaporizhzhia plant and the seven additional reactors at three other Ukrainian nuclear power plants supplied Ukraine with more than 50% of its national power generation.  That said, it must be noted that following the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, Ukraine began a concerted effort to shift toward safer, renewable power sources, especially wind power.

How did this situation evolve?

Russian forces began an assault in the immediate vicinity of the power plant last Saturday, August 6th, and kept up rocket and artillery shelling around the power plant since then.  The Russians are claiming that they are not intentionally targeting the power plant but instead the residential areas of Nikopol, a city across the Dnieper River from the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station.

EDITORIAL COMMENT:  As further evidence of Russia’s nonchalant attitude toward committing War Crimes (and evidently the West’s nonchalant attitude toward prosecuting War Crimes), in denying that they were targeting the power plant, the Russian military officials were openly admitting to targeting instead, residential areas of Nikopol.

The nuclear plant has been under Russian control since Moscow’s troops seized it early in the war, but they have allowed a skeleton team of Ukrainians to continue to operate the plant at reduced levels, but a direct hit on any of the six reactors could dramatically elevate this incident to an international crisis.

Experts at the U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War said Russia is shelling the area intentionally, “putting Ukraine in a difficult position.”

The Ukrainian company operating the nuclear power station said Saturday that Russian troops are using the plant’s basement to hide from Ukrainian shelling and have barred its Ukrainian staff from going there.

“Ukrainian personnel do not yet have access to these premises, so in the event of new shelling, people have no shelter and are in danger,” Enerhoatom, a Ukrainian state enterprise, said on its Telegram channel.

Enerhoatom said Friday that Russian rockets had damaged the plant’s facilities, including a nitrogen-oxygen unit and a high-voltage power line. Local Russian-appointed officials acknowledged the damage but blamed it on the Ukrainians.

How potentially dangerous is this situation?

In an August 12th report, while both sides continue to place the blame on the other side, international nuclear power experts claim that any bombing that would breach the nuclear reactors’ protective barriers could bring about a disaster not unlike the Fukushima incident.

Even in an attempt to downplay this danger, Russian officials admitted that the Fukushima scenario is most applicable.

“The situation would be extremely unpleasant — just like it was in Fukushima. In Fukushima, nobody died, but everyone had to be resettled, and the Japanese had to take all kinds of thorough safety measures,” said Russian radiochemist Boris Zhuikov.

“If a working reactor were destroyed and Iodine-131 were released, the evacuation would need to take place in a matter of days. If Cesium-137 were released, they would probably have a month,” said Zhuikov.

The expert also highlighted the dangers of shelling, stating if a shell hits the plant in the wrong spot, it would leave the entire territory uninhabitable. “It won’t matter who fired the first shot,” Zhuikov said. He added the only solution is to demilitarize the entire area.

What are the implications for Ukrainians?

Obviously any major nuclear power plant disaster would create seismic increases in the pressure on the Ukrainian people and the humanitarian aid that they would need, as hundreds of thousands more Ukrainians would become “internally displaced” by this evacuation.  While evacuating to safer regions up to a hundred miles away would provide immediate relief to those begin evacuated, it would create immediate danger of exhausting capacities at other Ukrainian refugee facilities and depleting already-lessened humanitarian aid reserves nationwide.

What are the implications for our Mission?

As for our Mission, any nuclear power plant disaster would fall under our Mission’s established rule of not returning to Ukraine while a nuclear radiation threat still exists.  We had originally instituted this rule out of a concern that if the war escalated and Russia piled losses on top of losses on the conventional battlefield, Russia’s Vladimir Putin might desperately resort to using a nuclear weapon.

The fact that this threat now comes in a different form does not negate or lessen adherence to this rule; the uncontrolled spread of nuclear radiation would present a clear and present danger to our Mission Team, and one that immediately cease our in-person aid deliveries (we would likely continue to send aid through couriers and delivery services, but they too may be disrupted if such an event occurred).

We will continue to monitor this situation closely, so please keep checking back here at our website for that reporting.

US Military Aid to Ukraine Package Part 2

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

Part 2: The U.S. announces the single largest military aid package yet for Ukraine – the August 8th $1 billion-dollar military aid package

But is it what the Ukrainians need?  And is it helping the Ukrainians on the battlefields?  We’ll answer that

 Also announced by the U.S.: a $4.5 billion-dollars in budgetary support for the Ukrainian government

 Will this comprehensive aid package make a

difference in Ukraine’s ultimate destiny?

We’ll examine that too

Ever since the Russian invasion began, it was abundantly clear that Russia’s military might was so superior to the Ukrainians that all parties knew that if Ukraine had any chance of avoiding a quick defeat (much less a stalemate or especially a victory on the battlefield) they would have to receive significant, in fact truly unprecedented military assistance from any and all potential allies.

Given that Ukraine was not yet a member of NATO, and Poland and other neighboring NATO nations would face similar long odds if they provided troops to fight the Russians, it became clear that any military assistance coming from Europe would not be in the form of troops (or planes or ships or submarines), but instead their help would be in terms of military aid equipment and supplies.

In making the same appeal to the United States, Ukraine received the same answer: Washington was also concerned, because as they saw it sending troops to Ukraine would be violently opposed by Russia, stoking fear of a nuclear response by Putin.  So here too, any military assistance coming from the U.S. would also have to be in the form of military aid equipment and supplies.

Fast-forward to today – early August – where we see that since early-March, the U.S. has sent a total of now 18 military aid packages to Ukraine (representing more than $10 billion worth of equipment and supplies) in leading the West’s response to Ukraine’s global appeal for military assistance.  Throughout this entire history of military aid, the burning question in America’s collective mind was and is, “is this aid meeting the real needs of the Ukrainian military?”, and perhaps more importantly, “is it making a difference on the battlefield, in other words, is it helping Ukraine prevail in the war?”

If one looks at either the sheer magnitude of this latest U.S. aid package or its composition, they would be hard pressed to come up with any other answer to that first question except for a resounding, categorical “yes!”

Apparently, we weren’t the only people asking Ukrainian soldiers about the specific nature of their real actual military aid needs because the latest U.S. aid package literally has something for everyone, beginning with the single most universally expressed needed weapon, the highly coveted HIMARS, which stands for “High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems”.  These nimble, long-range missile systems have been credited with allowing Ukraine to effectively strike against Russia’s larger military from far behind enemy lines.

The addition of these very tactical weapons has allowed Ukraine to shift to a more comprehensive battle plan that will be far more effective than the more-primitive plans Ukraine was forced to use when they only had short-range weapons at their disposal.  Already this increased ability has been tapped in scoring repeated battlefield victories in the past several weeks, with the Ukrainians now being able to destroy and disrupt Russia’s supply chain that moves ammunition, fuel, and other supplies from Russian rear guard supply depots to their front lines.  By cutting-off or eliminating these supply depots, the Ukrainians are now forcing Russia to pull troops off the front lines, which in many areas also includes forcing Russian troops to de-occupy villages that were costly to conquer in the first place.

Our Mission experienced that first-hand a few weeks ago as we delivered aid to those front-line Ukrainian villages and military camps, most of which had been very recently de-occupied, including two villages in particular that we delivered aid to, where Russian soldiers left the village mere hours before we arrived.

One way of looking at this scenario is that it is a good example how Americans played significant roles in bookending this action:  first, the military aid provided by the American government allowed these villages to be militarily liberated after more than month of brutal Russian occupation, then we American missionaries stepped in and provide much-needed humanitarian aid to the villagers emerging after the Russian de-occupation.

When I look at the description of the military aid that the US is sending Ukraine in this latest August 8th package, I see a lot of very familiar weapons and other equipment – familiar because when I was asking the solders on the front lines what specific types of US military aid are they in greatest need of – they rattled off the vast majority of the items on this list, most that would end up in their hands, while others were for arming their artillery support units that are 10-plus miles off the front lines.

Being the singular topic of this article, I will repeat my observation:  every single item included in this latest US military aid shipment was mentioned at least one or more times during my questioning of Ukrainian front-line soldiers AND in the recommendations that Ukraine’s military leaders issued very recently – which clearly means that Washington is paying close attention to the needs of the Ukrainian military (who apparently are now speaking with one voice in expressing their most vitally-needed aid).

I also want to include in this discussion another related observation, which too is the focus of this article, which asks the billion-dollar question of, “is this now targeted aid making a difference on the battlefield”, and in the largest context, “is it helping the Ukrainians defeat the Russians in the war”?

In answering this pair of questions, I first want to qualify my response by saying that the only source of information I have on the difference-making on the battlefield and Ukraine’s overall prospects for winning the war comes from two sources (and specifically not coming from another source in particular).  My two sources are led-off first by the media coverage of the war, specifically the information coming from the most un-biased of these media outlets (and decidedly not coming from either the Ukrainian or Russian governments).  And my second source is collectively the soldiers that I have spoken to on the front-lines, specifically the soldiers manning the western or southern terminus of the front-lines near Mykoliav.

What makes the latter all the more important is because during our time in Ukraine (mid-to-late-July), they were the ones responsible for the greatest momentum shift in favor of the Ukrainians since the initial Russian invasion in late-February was repulsed.  Here is a particularly appropriate map revealing these very recent battlefield results.

Recent (late July–early August) action along the western/southern terminus of the front lines, the site of our recent Mission aid deliveries

Battlefield results made possible in-part by the Ukrainians being armed with advance weaponry from the US in recent US military aid packages.

Here in the critically important southern theater (important because it is so close to Crimea, which the Russians illegally annexed in 2014) is where US aid is helping to produce the most victories since the war began, by forcing Russian forces to retreat from the front lines.

In summarizing our answers to the pivotable questions examined in this article, more conclusively than ever before, it now appears as if America’s military aid packages for Ukraine are exactly what the entire Ukrainian military force needs the most, and most importantly, we now have evidence that this advanced, targeted aid is turning the tide of the war in Ukraine’s favor by providing them new capacities to strike both more Russian targets and especially the Russians military supply centers that are far behind the front lines, where they are now no longer safe from Ukrainian attacks.

I should also point out that it isn’t as if this new aid package, or even the combination of the last several military aid packages instantaneously flipped the war in Ukraine’s favor – that it could also be the result of several months of skilled use of these US-supplied weapons, including those that came from the very earliest aid packages.  This reasoning is substantiated in-part by looking at what equipment has been included in the more than $10 billion in military aid that the US has given Ukraine since the war started, as seen here:

Also announced yesterday, Monday August 8th, only this time by the U.S. Treasury Department, was an additional $4.5 billion in aid to the government of Ukraine to help keep the government afloat as it seeks to withstand a large-scale, nation-wide Russian military campaign that now is approaching its sixth month.  The Treasury will administer the funds along with the U.S. Agency for International Development and the money will go for essential services like paying government salaries, keeping hospitals and schools operating, and distributing humanitarian supplies.

The department said there were mechanisms in place to make sure that the funding, which was approved by Congress, would be used only for its intended purposes.

“Robust safeguards put in place by the World Bank, coupled with U.S.-funded, expert third-party oversight embedded within the Ukrainian government, ensure accountability and transparency in the use of these funds,” the Treasury said in a statement.

The $4.5 billion represents the fifth disbursement from the U.S. directly to the Ukrainian government budget. The U.S. sent $1 billion through the World Bank in April and May, $1.3 billion in June, and another $1.7 billion in July.

The Treasury is also releasing $335 million to the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to help with Ukraine’s energy and food security as part of the country’s efforts to rebuild from the war.  The money will go to supporting infrastructure in transport and logistics as well as some direct financing for the agricultural sector and exporters. It will also go to cities and towns that are dealing with issues related to internally displaced persons and other vulnerable populations.

Why should America give this much money and aid to Ukraine

To remind ourselves of the logic of spending this significant amount of money in support of Ukraine’s effort to repel Russian expansionism – in other words, to arm ourselves (we supporters of providing aid to Ukraine) for the backlash we might hear over America donating such a large sum of American dollars at a time when our own nation is battling inflation and dealing with our own crises.

In doing this I don’t want to overstate the opposition to providing more aid for Ukraine, as a very recent poll indicated that 73% of Americans support providing aid to Ukraine – in geopolitical polls, that represents nearly a landslide of support for Ukraine.

Or as stated in the obverse, only 27%, or approximately 1 in 4 America opposes sending more aid to Ukraine.    But as we have witnessed in recent times as other political vocal minorities have received a disproportional amount of recognition in the media, we need to be forewarned about that happening here.

In providing this information I’m also drawing the distinction here between my previously stated personal reasons why I support Ukraine and why I am going to Ukraine, with what I am discussing here, which are the geopolitical reasons why the American government should continue to support Ukraine.

Admittedly, some of these reasons overlap, being both personal and geopolitical reasons why America should support Ukraine, such as where Russia is seen as the bully of Eastern Europe, subjugating a nation being bullied: Ukraine.  Or where Russia is characterized as being Evil, while in this stark dichotomy, Ukraine represents Good.

But for the most part these distinctions are easy to see – for example in the geopolitical sense, the most accurate observation is that Ukraine is merely a proxy for “the West” in general, and Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Romania and other vulnerable NATO nations in particular.  In this reasoning, we see Ukraine as nothing more than the first nation targeted for occupation and ultimately conversion back to a dictatorial communist nation by Russia – and having been chosen mostly for logistical reasons (i.e., beginning with Ukraine bordering Russia, which makes transport of military troops and equipment that much easier than say if Russia were to invade Hungary or Poland).

This analogy always produces the common talking point of “the West is supporting Ukraine, which hopefully results in Russia’s defeat and puting an end to Russia expansionism, so that the West and NATO nations don’t have to next defend Poland, Slovakia or Hungary or any other Eastern European NATO nation”.  Distilling that down to an even more common refrain sees this as “fight Russia now in Ukraine or fight them later in Poland”, or even more basal, “pay me now or pay me later”.

Another primary reason to support Ukraine in its war against Russia is that Russia’s invasion represents an affront to the principles of modern international law, which prohibits the forcible alteration or conquest of territories. These principles — first agreed on by Winston Churchill and FDR in the 1941 Atlantic Charter, and then codified in the UN Charter — are crucial to global stability and human rights.  If Russia or any nation is allowed to violate them freely, then other, potentially aggressive nations will perceive no limit to their own ambitions.  Expansionist countries that come to mind (and their most likely target) include China (Taiwan), North Korea (South Korea) and possibly Iran (Israel).

This translates into a more common refrain of “if we let one aggressive communist dictatorship take over a free and open democracy against their will without any globally enforced penalty or retribution, then all other aggressive communist dictatorships will see that as a green light to their expansionist agenda”.

There are many other reasons why supporting Ukraine is important – these are just a few – but this also doesn’t even begin to touch on the reasons to support Ukraine that have nothing to do with geopolitical affairs but instead something much more…well, human, and that is opposing Russia for the openly criminal acts that it is conducting, individually more than 40,000 individual acts of criminal violence thus far since the war began.  Cumulatively this equates to genocide being committed against the Ukrainian people, so in that sense we need to continue to support Ukraine so that Russia is held fully accountable for all of the War Crimes and Crimes Against Humanity that it is committing in engaging in full-on genocide on the Ukrainian people.

Thusly, for many Americans, they view Russia as they did “The Mob” during its hey-day in the 1920’s-30’s, when it openly committed one atrocity after another on public streets with impunity and without retribution.  That “war against crime” required a similar dramatic response, where the FBI provided what could be seen as military aid to local law enforcement agencies to defeat their common enemy.

I’ll end this discussion here because devoting any more attention to “the twenty-seven-percenters” who oppose further aid to Ukraine would make me guilty of the one thing I forewarned in saying earlier that too often in America political vocal minorities have received a disproportional amount of recognition in the media, this giving the allusion that they represent more Americans than they really do.

In closing, I will return to the headlines of this article and re-state the conclusions alluded to there.  First, this week the United States released a $1 billion military and humanitarian aid package to Ukraine, the largest to-date, which begs several important questions, leading with, “is this aid specifically what the Ukrainians need the most?  Based on what I learned from Ukrainian front-line soldiers and top military leaders, the answer is an unequivocal “YES!”

Facts supporting this conclusion are many, headed by the fact that the package included the most-needed weaponry – HIMARS, NASAMs and other long-range artillery weapons and ammunition, along with thousands of short-range weapons and ammunition like the AT4 (the Blue Dogs covet their one AT4 and its re-usable brother, the “Carl Gustav 84mm shoulder fire rocket launcher”), and also vitally needed were the 50 armored medical vehicles provided by the aid package from America.

Second comes the vital question of, “is this aid, specifically the military aid, making a difference on the battlefield?”, in other words, “is this military equipment helping the Ukrainians to actually defeat the Russians in battle” – and there too, as evidenced by what the soldiers and top military brass are telling us, and by the war’s individual battlefield status reports, the pervasive answer is another emphatic “YES!”.

Factually supporting this conclusion begins with the emphatic declarations of such by the Ukraine soldiers on the front lines, who told me rather convincingly that over the past month, the military equipment included in the most recent aid packages were absolutely instrumental in them pushing Russian forces off their front line positions and into retreat mode, which allowed Ukrainian forces to liberate dozens of small villages which were under Russian occupation for more than a month.

What allowed for this fungible positioning along the front lines was the fact that Ukraine relied almost entirely on the new long-range weapons included in these aid packages to destroy supply depots and rear-guard bases that all support the Russian soldiers on the front lines.  By destroying these depots and supply lines from a distance (while incurring few or no Ukrainian losses in the process), the Ukrainians were able to force Russian forces to retreat once they ran out of ammunition, fuel and food.

Equally as important, due to the tragic loss of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers due to not getting them to Field Hospitals before they bled-out or otherwise succumbed to their injuries or before getting adequate medical treatment, the new aid package includes 50 armored wounded warrior transport vehicles.  On a much smaller scale but reflecting this same vital need, our adopted Field Hospital informed us that they were losing too many soldiers because they couldn’t get needed medical treatment in time to save them, but in their specific location they needed small boats to transport the wounded because the Russians had destroyed all of the bridges and roads spanning the many rivers that dissect this portion of the front lines.  As you read in our other current report, we were able to buy and deliver three such rescue boats to our Field Hospital two days ago.

Third, and returning again to the headlines, accompanying this week’s military aid package was $4.5 billion in support of the Ukrainian government and their efforts to manage the country and provide for its fifteen million internally displaced citizens with the war now entering its sixth month.  Again that poses the question of “is this what the Ukrainians need and is it making a difference in their lives?”  Seeing as the money will go for essential services like paying government salaries, keeping hospitals and schools operating, and distributing humanitarian supplies – then this becomes the clearest example yet of American funding directly benefitting the Ukrainian people.

For those of you who have been regular readers of my previous articles, you will see – as I now feel – that finally it seems as if the American military aid is much more targeted in meeting Ukraine’s actual military needs, as opposed to my earlier criticism where it seemed to me that in previous military aid packages, the US was merely emptying our military equipment and supply depots of old and outdated weapons and ammunition.  And as I also previously stated, we are finally seeing America overcome its paranoia over sending long-range weapons to Ukraine out of a misplaced fear that Ukraine’s will preemptively invite WWIII by using these American long range weapons to attack Moscow and other marquis Russian targets.

Finally, I will point to the status of the overall war over the last thirty days to reinforce my claim that by finally getting the aid right, America is now fully enabling Ukraine to do what it does best, which is to valiantly protect its motherland and force the Russians to persistently retreat despite their far superior manpower.  And as a result of America’s stepped-up military aid, gone now is Russia’s dominance in firepower and equipment; with the new long and short range weaponry included in this latest aid package, Ukrainians now posses an arsenal nearly equivalent to Russia’s, there again enabling the Ukrainians to show the world – especially Russian citizens back home – that with equal firepower, the advantage swings to the Ukrainians simply because they are better fighters than the Russians.

So for all those reasons and more, for the first time since the war began, I can honestly say that I now see a clear (but difficult nonetheless) path to total victory for the Ukrainians, and a total victory that now includes reclaiming Crimea, which the Russians illegally took back in 2014.

For me, this latest military aid package has made this the tipping point in the war – all it took was for America to open-up its entire warehouse of military equipment and supplies and to shed its fears of this aid increasing the likelihood of a global war.  With those now clearly in the rear-view mirror, despite the fact that Russia still has a 10-to-1 advantage in total number of solders, by now arming the Ukrainians with military equipment equal to the Russians, I see the outcome of the war resting squarely on one factor: the will of the Ukrainian people, especially their military.

And from what I have personally witnessed firsthand, there the Ukrainians excel, in fact I believe that not just are the Ukrainian people the most proud, resilient and determined people as I have ever seen, but their soldiers are amongst the world’s most skilled and the most courageous of warriors anywhere – so if one has to put the fate of Ukraine in the hands of those amazing people, I can think of no better place for that fate to be determined.

Slava Ukraini!

US Military Aid to Ukraine Part 1

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

Part 1: Fact-Finding: United States Military Aid to Ukraine – Is it what the Ukrainians need and is it making a difference?

It depends on who you are asking.

Ukraine’s military leaders will tell you that the US aid is as close to being perfect as possible in terms of meeting their overall needs – while soldiers on the front lines will remind you that they also need far more basic personal military equipment and supplies.

But both will tell you unequivocally that the US military aid is absolutely making a difference on the battlefield, is saving Ukrainian lives and is the single most important key to winning the war.

      Two weeks ago, when I was on the front lines imbedded with a Ukrainian anti-tank company, I had plenty of opportunities to talk with these courageous soldiers about foreign military aid, specifically that which is coming from the U.S.  To the last one, each of these combat veterans effused gratitude for the U.S.’s generous military aid packages, and nearly every last one of them went out of their way to emphasize that they wouldn’t be where they are in the war without that vital aid, in fact a few opined that they would likely be dead without it.

While our Mission’s primary goal was delivering the most-needed aid to the neediest Ukrainians (which is what brought us to these front lines in the first place), another of our primary goals was to conduct fact-finding on two important topics.  First was determining the conditions-on-the-ground, both in terms of the combat conditions and in terms of the condition of the Ukrainian civilians – while the second important topic was the whole matter of America’s military aid.

These resourceful Ukrainian soldiers serving on the front lines do whatever they can to arm themselves for combat and to meet the everyday needs soldiers have who are living in isolated camps often far away from supply depots – including harvesting captured Russian weapons.  Here are but some of the spoils of war, which the Blue Dogs got one week before I arrived, when they over-ran the Russian front lines.

As the eyes-and-ears on-the-ground for any receptive representatives in both Congress and The White House, I was asked to objectively record my own observations along with the informal testimonies of, in the case of military aid, as many Ukrainian soldiers as I could reach.  Naturally, our political leaders want and need to know whether or not the aid that we are giving Ukraine is actually meeting their actual needs and more importantly, is that specific aid making a difference on the battlefield and in the greater context, is it helping Ukraine defeat the Russians?

IMPORTANT UPDATE:  Already this week that interest was elevated by one billion more reasons why these are important questions and answers – for that was the estimated dollar amount of the brand-new military aid package that was announced just today, Monday August 8th.  More on this very latest aid package below.

Because of whom I was asking these questions of – Ukraine’s everyday foot soldiers who every single day engage in one form or another of offensive or defensive combat against the Russians – the answers I got reflected that granular, life-or-death focus.

I’m fairly certain that if I was instead asking Ukraine’s top military leaders in either Kyiv or in one of the regional military command-and-control centers, I would get somewhat different answers – except for the one perspective shared by both front-line soldiers and command-and-control top brass, which was a resounding “yes…America’s military aid is definitely helping Ukraine beat Russia across most of the war’s footprint”.

Here you will see how those varying opinions and conclusions play out, as first I will share with you the insight given to me by the foot soldiers I was imbedded with on the war’s southwestern front lines, the “Blue Dogs” anti-tank company.  I need to also mention that being with these men at their small camp, where the entire nine-man company’s equipment and supplies fit inside the small one-bedroom house they occupied, also benefitted by fact-finding because there I could see what their everyday life required, along with anything that would improve the primitive conditions they’re otherwise living amongst.

The first – and most lasting – takeaway I have from these discussions with these front-line fighters on the topic of aid supplies is that these guys are doing without a whole lot in terms of their individual personal items so that they can use whatever resources they can lay hands on – including the vast majority of their own pay that they receive from the Ukrainian government – so that they can acquire better weapons and better combat equipment.

Why I mention this is to not only point out the significant personal sacrifices that the Ukrainian soldiers are making to perform better on the battlefield, but also to emphasize the profound need for Missions like ours to provide personal aid items to these soldiers.  This reflects an inherently natural division of dutiful aid between and among the U.S. government and private individuals and NGOs – where the government supplies weaponry that only they can get, while private humanitarians can provide supplies that they can reasonably get.

Here I literally opened-up my suitcase to offer any of my personal items to the Blue Dogs after I saw how little they had.  In some recent incidences, they traded their own food and personal hygiene items in order to get ammunition for their shoulder-fire rocket-launchers.

Before that they did without their weekly supplies and took money out of their own paychecks so that they could collectively buy a van to transport them to and from battlefields, and the nearest field hospital and distant aid supply depots.

In my questioning of the Blue Dogs, I had to constantly remind myself to observe as much as listen to them when they were expressing their aid needs, because all of them persistently put their purpose or mission before their own personal needs.  For example, while they were describing the various weapons and ammunition they needed, at the same time I could not help but notice how all of them had at best second-hand molle belts, pouches and backpacks.  Or when they were describing what night vision equipment would make their evening missions more successful, I couldn’t help but notice how nearly every single one of them was using opened-up cardboard boxes and newspapers for blankets and pillows.

In this photo, right before we left for an evening mission, the Blue Dogs loaded-up their gear, which gives you a good idea what kind of military clothing and equipment they use, even right down to the camo patterns they prefer.  For those of you who are familiar with military gear, these molle backpacks, vests and belts are their standard issue, so if you are considering helping them by picking-out personal gear for them, they could really use just about any kind of molle drop bags or pouches, including ones made to hold grenade and ammunition magazines in the standard NATO sizes.

So if you are interested in helping our Mission to better outfit the Blue Dogs, please consider these soldiers’ personal needs, because far too often they do without personal comfort (and safety) so that they can divert these funds to purchase better armament and company-wide equipment.  And by providing them with these creature-comforts, you are sending a clear message to them that we Americans care about the personal individual welfare of our Ukrainian brothers and sisters.

SEE THE END OF THIS ARTICLE FOR THE ANNOUNCEMENT ON HOW YOU CAN PERSONALLY SUPPORT THE BLUE DOGS AND THE UKRAINIAN MILITARY EVERYWHERE.

Meeting Ukraine’s Military Aid Needs according to Ukraine’s Military Leaders in Kyiv and nationwide in the Military Command-and-Control Centers

While I did not have the same long periods of times or number of opportunities to question Ukraine’s military leaders that I did with the front-line soldiers, I was able to gain enough information from them and other nation-wide military sources to create a refined list of most-needed military equipment – in a military-wide perspective.

For the most part, the recommendations from Ukraine’s military leaders mirror what the foot soldiers told me, beginning with the fact that their greatest military need at this point is to obtain as many long-range weapons as possible, especially HIMARS – Highly Mobile Artillery Rocket System missiles, and GMLRS – Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System, both are precision-guided systems with a functional range of up to 70 kilometers.  So coveted by Ukrainian soldiers are these HIMARS, that the first answer the Blue Dogs gave me when I asked what military aid they need most: a resounding cry of “HIMARS, HIMARS and more HIMARS!” was their answer.

These long-range weapons are having a very profound effect in the battlefield, where they are essentially a 200-pound warhead that is nearly equivalent to a precision-guided airstrike.  The fact that they cover a much longer range, often twice of the weapons the Ukrainians were previously using, where they’re very effective in hitting targets that the Ukrainians previously could not reach.

Another area – or to be more accurate – another weapon that both the Ukrainian foot soldiers and top brass agree upon are the much smaller-range anti-tank and anti-armored personnel carrier weapons, these being much more effective in close-range fighting.

Here the Blue Dogs showed me one of the most effective weapons that has helped them in their short-range combat against Russian forces: the 84-mm Swedish-designed AT4, which was first adopted by the US in 1987, a weapon that has served as a battlefield staple since then, including the fact that more than 20,000 of these single-shot, disposable weapons have been used thus far in Ukraine.  Equally coveted is the more permanent version of the AT4, the also Swedish-made 84-mm “Carl Gustav”, which is a highly versatile, fully reusable weapon that can fire a wide range of explosive rounds depending on specific needs.

Also mirroring what we heard from the front lines – in this case from the medical staff at the Ukrainian Field Hospital that we delivered aid to – was the need for platforms to transport injured soldiers from the battlefield to hospitals.  At our Field Hospital, the needed “platform” was nothing more than inflatable rafts, while in the nationwide military survey, there was a profound need for “armored medical treatment vehicles”, which basically means a fully-stocked field hospital on four wheels and covered with enough armor that it could repel small arms fire and fragmentation bombs.  Also needed on the battlefield – and provided by this latest military aid package, were a wide assortment of first-aid kits, bandages, monitors and other medical equipment.

Otherwise, the weapons and ammunition needs were split between long-range weaponry (e.g., mostly HIMARS, 155mm artillery and NASAMS) – and short-range weaponry (e.g., 120mm mortar systems, Javelin and AT4 should-fire rockets, Claymore anti-personnel munitions, and C-4 munitions).

An appropriate jumping-off point to Part 2 of this report on the US military aid packages, is to repeat what I heard in terms of various forms of profound gratitude coming from the Ukrainian soldiers – gratitude for what medical aid supplies we were able to deliver during our Mission and gratitude for this latest two shipments of aid coming from the American government, which included a significant amount of personal medical supplies for the men and women serving on the front lines.

“I can’t tell you how good it feels to know that Americans truly care about us soldiers”, one of the Blue Dogs told me as we were sitting down for dinner our last night there.  “And none of us can get over the fact that you traveled halfway around the world to come to our small camp in the front lines, where you’re risking your life just to bring us these supplies.  That’s pretty unbelievable.”

I can also tell you that throughout our entire time in Ukraine countless individual Ukrainians – ranging from Governors and other government officials to villagers and soldiers – made a special point to thank us for what we were doing, calling us everything from heroes (“geroiv”) to angels (“yangoli”).

So in terms of my fact-finding on America’s humanitarian, medical and military aid to Ukraine, all of that gets the highest marks possible, as regardless of what type of aid we’re providing, what we are specifically suppling IS meeting the Ukrainians’ most vital needs, it IS making a significant difference in their everyday lives, especially during times of great distress, and it IS translating into the Ukrainians having a significantly greater military advantage, evidenced by how our specific types of aid are winning battles with less Ukrainian casualties.

And from a personal perspective, above all the Ukrainians are eternally grateful for all that we are doing.

Do you want to personally help the Ukrainian Military in general and our Blue Dogs in particular?  Here’s how you can:

Until Mission II arrives in Ukraine in September (armed with significantly more aid supplies than we had for Mission I), beginning next week we will be continually sending our adopted front-line company, The Blue Dogs, bi-weekly personal aid packages – so if you would like to help us with this, please read on.

In considering all major factors (from where to buy the needed gear to delivering it) we are relying a great deal on the things that we learned when we were in Ukraine two weeks ago so that we can assure you, our Mission donors and supporters, that every penny that you donate will be used in the most efficient manner in meeting the precise personal needs of the Blue Dogs.

So here is what I have arranged:  I have already secured three of our Ukrainian Mission Team Members (led by Theo Petrov and Oleg Azov) who have volunteered to go purchase the needed aid items (or if I am ordering the supplies, they will receive the goods at their homes), and then taking it to the front-lines and deliver it to the Blue Dogs at their camp.

I want to impress upon you what a generous and courageous undertaking this is by our Ukrainian Team Members – beginning with the fact that the front lines are more than 250 miles from Kyiv (where most of our Team Members live), and the last 50 miles of that long trip are exceptionally dangerous as this falls inside the “active combat zones”.

As we experienced first-hand last month when we were there in these active combat zones, throughout days and nights we heard dozens of explosions each hour from Russian long-range missiles and rockets and close-range artillery.  Further representing the danger our Mission Team Members face in delivering aid to these front-line camps and villages is the fact that Russian military forces are often less than 2-3 miles away at any given time.

So please join me in thanking Theo, Oleg and the other Ukrainians who are continuing to help us as Mission Team Members.

In terms of how you can participate in this noble effort to help our allies, you can either donate the actual equipment and supplies you want (then I will give you the best address to ship this to, and then see that Theo or Oleg or one of our Team Members gets this gear to the Blue Dogs camp) – or you can donate money to our Mission (designating it for this special fund or for whatever equipment you want to sponsor), and I will order and ship the gear to our guys in Ukraine for delivery to the Blue Dogs camp.

Extreme Republicans Cyber Warfare

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

Far-Right Republicans are again throwing shade on NATO and Ukraine aid – handing the Russians yet another victory on the global messaging front

Far-right Congressmen, like Senators Hawley and Paul, are once again playing right into the hands of Russian cyber-warfare agents – which begs the question of “why?”

In any other decade, Republicans aligning themselves with Russian propogandists would prompt outrage, recalls and the launch of campaigns to elect “less-communist-leaning” replacements in Congress. But not here and now, so the question remains: Why?

Why isn’t the Republican Party leaning on their members to stop supporting Russia. Why aren’t voters in Missouri and Kentucky demanding that their Senators stop enabling Russian expansionism and brutal genocide? Why isn’t the media focusing attention on either the sinful act itself, supporting Russia at the expense of Ukraine, and/or why isn’t the media placing more attention on this spectacle of Republican support for Russia brutal aggression when for the sixty-plus years prior, the Republican Party has always led the opposition to Russia and their predatorial acts?

Much to Vladimir Putin’s satisfaction, the latest example of American politicians playing right into the hands of Russian cyber-warfare agents was the August 3rd vote seeking approval of Finland and Sweden joining NATO. After weeks of planting seeds in social media, chat rooms and other online forums, Russian cyber-warfare agents have apparently scored another victory as Josh Hawley (R-MO) rather visibly cast the lone “no” vote in that 95-1 vote for approval of NATO membership for Finland and Sweden, and while the decision was an extremely lop-sided “yes”, who’s actually cheering this renegade act?

None other than Vladimir Putin and the Russian military, who of course would oppose any expansion of NATO membership, especially this one which significantly strengthens NATO northeastern flanks?

Worrying about a renegade extremist in Congress who is isolated by his own peers is generally something not worth worrying about, but in this case for me it is more of a concern that pro-Russian political sound bites and fabricated anti-Ukraine statements and false facts are finding support among the more powerful of America’s two political parties. There, with more votes forthcoming to grant Ukraine more military aid, we will again see Republicans eating their own, much as what happened two months ago when Senator Ted Cruz got ambushed at a press conference when he spoke in favor of providing Ukraine more aid.

There I see my greatest concern playing itself out in real time, where this pro-Russia positioning will bleed into not just straightforward votes considering more aid to Ukraine, but in every related matter that comes before Congress, such as this vote to approve Finland and Sweden’s NATO application. Before long, the seeds represented by Hawley (and Rand Paul’s) categorical opposition to helping Ukraine will begin to sprout in the form of other Republicans joining their pro-Russia platform on a wide range of issues that impact Ukraine’s ability to retain their free and open democracy.

As a former Republican, I am reminded of my age every time I react with outrage every time another pro-Russia position is taken by US Congressmen and women. It could be – as some have suggested – that I am just living in the past because throughout my entire adult life, NEVER would the words “Republican” and “supporting a pro-Russia…” (anything) appear in the same sentence. Now it is almost becoming routine.

At this juncture I need to be abundantly clear: me taking this position is not at all related to my own personal position on the political spectrum, it’s not me lashing out at the Trumpism that has consumed my former party – instead, this is all about my unabated support of Ukraine…well that and my staunch opposition to Russia’s brutal expansionism. You see, I’m a black-and-white kind of person. I take things on face value, and I find myself wishing that American politicians would practice my own personal coda of, “I say what I mean, and I mean what I say!”

So for me, the Senate vote to approve Finland and Sweden’s application to NATO was all about… just that! Is it in America’s best interests to allow NATO to expand by adding these two very strategically positioned countries? As hard as I try, I simply cannot find any over-riding reason why America would oppose that. None at all.

Which is probably the same conclusion reached by Senators Hawley or Paul, if and only if you caught them in a rare private minute of honesty. There’s no question that a stronger NATO makes for a more secure America. None.

Which tells me that Hawley is tying this particular Finland-Sweden vote to other larger and more important (in his mind) matter. This is tragic because of the cost of that lone “no” vote in terms of political impact in the media (by handing Hawley the invaluable gift of front-page headlines to opine on his pro-Russia position) – or, at the very least it has other Congressmen (mostly Republicans) questioning their support for Ukraine. We all know that courage is non-existent in Congressional politics, so the relief that Hawley’s vote gave other far-right-leaning Republicans is the precedence that he set, and the other Republicans now can take cover behind that…

…which is how cancer grows – by slowly and subtly spreading to other cells, in this case, to other Congressmen and to other vulnerable issues.

And none of this makes any sense to me – are we not as a country categorically opposed to Russia’s brutal expansionism, are we not a people who cannot tolerate genocide of any kind, are we not a global power that seeks more peace around the world and not more deadly conflicts?

Which brings us full circle back to our Mission. Why is this matter important to us – which is this outrage something that we should promulgate?

The way I see this is in the obverse: why wouldn’t we be outraged by any American politician gaining traction for repeated pro-Russian, anti-Ukraine positioning?!

I think why this strikes me so hard is because I was able to witness firsthand what constitutes this generic Russian expansionism and this specific form of genocide that the Russians are bringing down on the Ukrainian people. I have personally, literally looked into the eyes (and heart and minds) of the everyday Ukrainians who are paying the ultimate price for America and Russia’s global game of chess.

Through heaving sobs I have personally heard Ukrainian women tell me that they are among the dozens of not hundreds of women in these front line villages who have experienced Russia’s brutal pattern of genocide – where her husband had been killed fighting on the front lines, where her elderly father was handcuffed, tortured and then shot in the back of the head by the Russian invaders, where she herself was raped repeatedly by Russian soldiers and where her eleven year old daughter was kidnapped and presumably sent to Russia to live out the rest of her life.

These are the costs of supporting Russia while not supporting Ukraine.

This represents my personal scorecard when it comes to taking sides on this or any geopolitical matter. If you support Russia in any manner, you are not just approving of the Russian behavior illuminated by that matter, you are promoting it, you are specifically allowing this genocide to continue day-in and day-out, you are refusing to hold any war criminal responsible for these horrific crimes – – and you are literally turning your back on all of eastern Europe, those countries that will next feel the onslaught of Russian expansionism into their homeland.

By not helping to stop Russia’s expansion here in Ukraine, you are indirectly giving your tacit approval to Russia for next invading Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, maybe even the Czech Republic.

To put another name or identity to Russia’s expansionism, nearly everyone would agree that two other primary ways to do that is to characterize this as a democracy versus a tyrannical dictatorship, and as communism versus capitalism – so when taken together, in this instance we are distinguishing between our support for a free and open democratic society that practices capitalism (obviously Ukraine), versus a tyrannical dictatorship brutally overseeing a communistic political and economic system (obviously Russia).

So here too I use a simple straightforward black-and-white scorecard: for every action, such as providing more military aid to Ukraine, a check goes in one of two boxes in deciding “who wins?” The action will either support a democracy practicing capitalism, or a tyrannical communist nation. It’s that simple.

I will again relate this to our Mission by boiling this down to the most salient facts and conclusions. In the broadest examination possible, let’s look again at our Mission mantra: “To provide the most-needed aid to the neediest of Ukrainians”.

In that broadest view I would argue that on August 3rd, 2022, the “Ukrainians greatest need” was a “yes” vote in favor of admitting Finland and Sweden into NATO.

If you dig deeper into the history of our Mission, there you find yourself asking, “What caused the creation of our Mission?” In answering that I will share with you my own linear, binary decision-making process:

First, against the will of the Ukrainian people, Ukraine was being invaded by Russia with the clear intent to take control of their government and their people by force, to depose their freely elected leaders and replace them with Russian autocrats with a sworn steadfast loyalty to Vladimir Putin and to institute their classless communist society and economic system and displacing Ukraine’s free and open democracy and capitalist economy.

Therefore, in my binary decision-making, I voted to support one side: defending another democracy and stopping the spread of communism, in giving my support to Ukraine.

Second, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine did not at all conform to any previous military war rules of engagement or treatment of civilians, in fact so extreme (and openly extreme) was Russia’s mistreatment of Ukrainian civilians that today a better description fits what Russia is really doing…

…Russia’s real intent was and is to first and foremost conduct a brutal comprehensive campaign of institutional genocide against the Ukrainian people, with the actual war being an afterthought.

Evidence of that could not be any clearer than how Putin has labeled this war – specifically he is NOT considering this as a war, instead it’s a “military action” he argued, as if not calling it a “war” gave him a free pass to side-step the universal rules of war-time engagement and how civilians are shielded from the worst of the war’s impacts.

Following my own linear, binary decision-making process, the next straightforward question needing an answer is a “yes” or “no” in prohibiting any acts of genocide from continuing. So again in picking sides, the vote would be either in support of Russia continuing their genocide against the Ukrainian people, or siding with the Ukrainians in demanding a stop to any and all genocide.

So again my binary decision-making voted in favor of stopping this reprehensible genocide and again supporting Ukraine.

If needed, I could continue further down this linear, binary decision-making path, but already it is clear to see that all further analyses would merely repeat this “Good versus Evil” dichotomy, where continually my personal support is squarely behind the Ukrainian people.

In closing, I once again see the actions of Hawley, Paul and other extreme-right Republicans in the context of our Mission. While in Ukraine, we saw – I personally witnessed the devastating effects of Russia’s brutal scorched-Earth approach to their brand of war, and I personally felt the anguish, pain, shame and grief that the Ukrainian people have felt as victims of Russia’s reprehensible genocide.

Standing there in those Ukrainian villages, or back here safely imbedded in America it was and is easy to justify my disgust and contempt for these our radical Republicans’ pro-Russia position. So please, if you agree with my conclusions, make your voice heard. And to make that the easiest possible, try not to be led down multiple paths in debating various individual bills or executive actions – instead, make your position as clean and as clear as it can be by merely holding the position of “Pro-Ukraine and Anti-Russia”.

No question if you want to take specific stands on each of these individual acts of support for or against Ukraine – such as the August 3rd vote for Finland-Sweden being admitted to NATO – by all means do that. But more often than not, simplifying political positions have more of a lasting effect, because amidst the cacophony of American congressional processes you will be making it much easier for our elected officials to merely glance up at the flag they’re carrying and act on that if the banner simply reads: “Pro-Ukraine, Anti-Russia”.

So we Mission members who oppose what Russia is doing, we need to repeat that banner line – “Pro-Ukraine, Anti-Russia” – to as many different people as possible, especially our elected officials. And we should not stop until every single vote that comes before Congress for bills that would address any aspect of the Ukrainian war is decided unanimously in favor of Ukraine and unanimously against Russia.

Are you listening Senators Hawley and Paul?

The Vinnytsia Tragedy Part 2

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

Russians Bombs Target Civilians in Vinnytsia and a Tragedy within a Tragedy: the murder of Elizaveta Dmytriyeva
Part 2 of 2

Olha’s death also illuminated another stark reality of this Russian missile attack – being the fact that her body was at least identifiable. Government reports indicate that the vast majority of the victims had to be identified through the use of forensic DNA analyses because the force of the blasts was so devastating.

Among the 26 Ukrainians murdered by this Russian missile attack, it has been reported that anywhere from 4-5 were children, and among those murdered children was one little girl in particular, Elizaveta Dmytriyeva. Her story is what makes her death a devastating tragedy within the greater tragedy of those other 25 murdered and more than 100 injured.

This photograph was taken in a lavender field near their home, one week before Elizaveta’s murder.

WARNING:  The photographs which follow are very disturbing and may offend most readers, so please proceed with all due caution.  We are including these photographs only because we promised to provide uncensored reporting so that our readers clearly understand the brutal atrocities being committed by the Russians in enacting their barbarous genocide on the Ukrainian people.  Murder is one of those Russian atrocities, and these photographs capture the entire scene of this crime, including the victim. 

The Tragedy within a Tragedy The Murder of Elizaveta Dmytriyeva

This 2019 photograph shows Elizaveta sleeping in her stroller (and her mother Iryna)…

…the same stroller in which she was killed by Russians.

          According to two independent sources, the fragmentation blast was so powerful that it ripped Elizaveta’s body in half (I guess this was “fortunate” because it means that Elizaveta didn’t suffer because the blast – and her death – was so instantaneous).

Liza’s mother Iryna was not so fortunate, as the explosion’s fragmentations cut off her left leg, and her massive blood loss put her in a coma for nearly a week.

One day after the Missile attack that killed Elizaveta, her stroller gives mute testimony as to the senseless violence being committed by the Russians…

…and four days after that, I visited the scene of this horrific crime, where I pledged to bring her story to any who will listen, in hopes that those held accountable for this murder will be appropriately punished in the court of public opinion and in the appropriate Court of Law.

Who was Elizaveta Dmytriyeva?

(Photos taken from the social media accounts of her mother Iryna Dmytriyeva)

In most respects, “Liza” was an ordinary four-year-old Ukrainian child: she loved dressing up, she loved the color lavender, she loved flowers, and she certainly loved her doting mother Iryna.

But as a special-needs child, living a regular ordinary life had always been a challenge for Liza and her family.  In the words of her loving mother, Iryna:

 

 

“When we learned about the pregnancy, we were extremely happy. The perfect picture of the family was immediately drawn in our heads. But fate decided differently,” Iryna recalled in an Instagram post. “We were about to go through pain, disappointment in others, humiliation, and fear.”

Faced with the question as to whether to keep the pregnancy intact and follow-through with her birth, Iryna says she was told by medical experts: “You are young. Why do you need a sick child?”

But nonetheless the couple chose to go ahead, despite knowing their baby would have serious health issues. Both were determined “to show Liza the world, not hide her between four walls.”  Just before her first birthday Liza had to have open heart surgery, which thankfully was a success.

In celebrating that first birthday, Iryna simply posted on her Instagram: “I am the mother of an angel.”

 

 

Over the next three years, Ukrainians around the country learned of Liza’s story and she became the unofficial poster child for Ukraine’s special needs children.

During that time, a large audience closely followed Iryna’s daily postings, and all of Ukraine celebrated with her whenever Liza accomplished something major, like for instance in late-2019 when Iryna posted: “Liza sat down herself!  Without support!  Only a little thing for some, but for us it’s incredible, for Liza is a fighter and a hero, a strong little girl whom we love to the point of madness!”

 

 

Among Liza’s many admirers was Ukraine’s First Lady, Olena Zelensky, who too was shocked when word got out that Liza had been killed.

“Today we were all horrified by a photo of an overturned baby carriage from Vinnytsya.  And then, reading the news, I realized that I know this girl.  I will not write all the words I want to, to those who killed her.  I will write to you about her.”

“We met while recording a video for Christmas holidays.  This little girl managed to paint with dye not only herself, her dress, but also all the other children, me, the cameraman and the director just in half an hour.  Look at her, alive, please.  I am crying with her loved ones.”

 

 

Elizaveta “Liza” Dmytriyeva – May you rest in Peace Little Angel

The word “tragedy” appears repeatedly in nearly all of my Mission reporting, because tragedy is what happens every single day in Ukraine – one tragedy after another.  The even-greater tragedy that is related to Liza and Iryna’s own personal tragedy and Vinnytsia’s collective tragedy is the fact that nearly every other attack on Ukrainian civilians involves one of more of these tragic personal stories.  That is what inherently happens whenever a mass murder takes place.  In the days following the horrific Texas school shooting, we got to know the twenty-plus victims – same with the mass shooting in Buffalo, and now the same here In Ukraine.  We meet these wonderful people too late to have enjoyed them in life.

Growing up in a military family I know first-hand that wars always result in the death of innocent people.  My father brought that fact of war to my attention whenever we discussed WWII or the Vietnam War – “his” wars.  Those artime deaths are mostly called “collateral damage”, because in fact, they are the unintended consequence of trying to eliminate enemy combatants and their military equipment and infrastructure.  But even now, with the advent of “smart bombs”, civilians still do lose their lives to military actions.

But what is happening here in Ukraine is not that.  Instead, what is happening today in Ukraine is something entirely different, something that if it continues to happen will eventually reach the levels of international outrage that was associated with some of history’s worst civilian causalities.

Making such claims take us into an entirely different conversation, a much more technical and legal conversation that includes “War Crimes” and “Crimes Against Humanity”, so I will leave that for another day.  So until then, I urge you to read a very well written article by Louis Jacobson for Politifact, “Russia, Ukraine, and the contested language of genocide”.

But let us not forget that all of these Ukrainian tragedies involve human beings.  Real people, with real name and real families – and each has their own story, such a Liza’s story, which make these tragedies within tragedies.

THIS NEEDS TO STOP!

The Vinnytsia Tragedy Part 1

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

Russians Bombs Target Civilians in Vinnytsia and a Tragedy within a Tragedy: the murder of Elizaveta Dmytriyeva

Three days before I arrived in Ukraine, at 10:30 in the morning on July 14th, three Russian Kalibr cruise missiles slammed into the center of the city of Vinnytsia in what was yet another intentional focused attack on civilian targets, where the Russians purposefully avoided hitting any of the various military installations found in and around this city of 370,000, so that instead they could further terrorize everyday Ukrainian citizens.

In one of the larger casualty bombings of Ukrainian cities since the War began, 26 civilians were killed and 100 more were seriously injured here in Vinnytsia – – and as tragic as that alone was, it was the identity of one of the dead that made this a tragedy within a tragedy, one that deeply scarred the Ukrainian people and appalled people worldwide.

I had to see for myself the scene of one of the war’s ghastlier Russian attacks on Ukrainian civilians.  Five days before I stood here in front of the windowless shell of this commercial-residential building, several long-range Russian cruise missiles struck it and the plaza I was standing in the middle of.

But as tragic as the burned-out building was, even more heartbreaking was the small memorial erected here in honor of one of the victims.

When the gravity of what occurred here on July 14th hit me, it literally forced me to my knees, but there even a prayer seemed insufficient because I was so angry and mystified by what God had allowed to happen here (but I also knew that it was not God’s malfeasance that angered me so much, but instead it was my imperfect spirituality which led me futilely searching for accountability that I wouldn’t find).

Frustrated by my inability to find any spiritual redemption, I flipped my inner switch from compassionate aid provider to fact-finding investigative reporter and began dissecting the crime.  But to be totally honest, I found it hard to just stick to the facts and ignore the human tragedy that took place here.  Triggers were everywhere: beginning with the mound of toys left in loving memory of one of the victims of this brutal attack.

So just as when I was there standing amidst that horrific scene when my thoughts drifted from fact-gathering to that one victim in particular, so too does my reporting here drift back and forth between these two tragedies, so please bear with me.

This is difficult.  Perhaps it’s the fact that I have a grand-daughter the same age as this one victim – that certainly plays into this.  Regardless, objectively reporting this is very difficult.

I think that I have come to see the Vinnytsia tragedy as the symbol for all of these Russian attacks on civilian targets, an attack count now exceeding one-hundred, and I have come to see this one innocent victim as literally the poster child for all of the children intentionally murdered by Russian oppressors.  And this in turn is unavoidably linked to the personal reasons why I came here in the first place to help the Ukrainian people.

For me, there could be no clearer contrast of Good versus Evil than this attack.  Here too does this tragedy characterize the utter frustration I feel over why the West, or America or Europe en masse hasn’t already stopped this brutal genocide?  What more evidence do they need?

And with saving children being one of the primary focuses of our Mission, here I found myself coming to Ukraine five days too late to possibly save this one child in particular.

Again frustration overwhelms me.  So in-turn I have made that one of my own triggers: whenever I find myself trapped in the box canyon of frustration, I turn around and proceed back down the path of factual reporting, so here below I continue with that.

The crime committed here

To begin with, the vulgarity of the Russian actions here has compelled me to report this as a murder, a mass murder in fact, and not anything associated with a war or a military action. 

 I call it murder because that’s what it was. 

Whether a noun or a verb, murder is defined as having three components: the actual act of killing one or more people, second is the requirement noting it as an “unlawful” act, and third, specifically labelling it as a “premeditated act”.  The Russians did all three.

In that legal context, a Russian commander somewhere – more-than-likely taking his orders from the highest-possible positions of authority (I’ll leave it up to an International Criminal Court prosecutor to identify that person as Vladimir Putin) – they intentionally and with clear premeditation singled out this assemblage of people and directed five of the most powerful tools of death directly at them.  The reverberations that followed included the customary political positioning.

For example, when one of these seemingly senseless acts of violence is perpetrated against the Ukrainian people, the response coming from the three primary stakeholders is predictable:

From the Ukrainians, most often being embodied in statements coming from one or more government officials, they will rightfully report this as a terrorist attack intended to kill and injure as many Ukrainian civilians as possible, and most of these reports include one or more mentions of Russian “genocide”.

From the Russians will come abject denials from across-the-boards, sometimes these statements are issued by Kremlin leaders, who will point out or even fabricate news about there being a military target among the ruins, but otherwise they just categorically dismiss any intention of targeting civilians in particular.

From the international media the reports will mostly summarize both nation’s positions, but then these varied news bureaus will for the most part focus on the objective, on the facts, where it becomes hard for these news outlets to NOT claim this as being an intentional attack on civilians and a few of them might go so far as including mention of this being a repeated series of violent incidences and therefore the word “genocide” finds its way to copy.

We like to think of ourselves and our reporting as being objective and realistic, but as I have mentioned here in this article, our – my – sympathies are clearly aligned with the victims, with the innocents, which in my entire reporting thus far, are the Ukrainians, especially the Ukrainian civilians.

But as a scientist by training and career experience, I find it impossible to drift away entirely from the facts, so the editorial positions I often take are ones centered on irrefutable facts, but if those facts clearly portray acts of institutional violence being committed against innocent civilians, I will call it out as such.

Or if these violent acts would otherwise meet the definition of a crime, or even a War Crime or Crime Against Humanity, I will call it that as well.  And if these repeated acts of institutional violence fit into a repeated pattern of intentional, premeditated violent acts committed against one particular group or class of people, then I will not hesitate to call it genocide.

So taking that together, in this reporting I am calling the July 14 Russian missile attacks on the city of Vinnytsya the mass murder of innocent Ukrainians because that’s what the evidence reveals and that is what fits the pattern of these such acts by the Russians.

I will also factual report however, that among the 25 dead were three Ukrainian military officers; Russia is of course making this the focal point of their commentary, claiming that the attack was 100% a military action intended on taking out these military officers.  In pushing that story line the Russian are also avoiding referring to the 22 dead Ukrainians at all, who all were civilians, so it’s assumed that if pressed, Russia will claim that the death of these innocent people is merely “collateral damage”.

What has yet to be determined – which is something that I will continue to follow – is if these three Ukrainian officers were at the crime scene intentionally, as in holding an established meeting in military offices where the war was being discussed?  Or were these just three fellow soldiers who just happened to be in the wrong place and the wrong time?

But even if they were meeting in official capacities, that does nothing to lessen the accountability the Russians inherently have for killing upwards of 22 innocent civilians in the process.

To me the entire scale of the missile attack – firing five long-range ballistic missiles loaded with a collective 2,500 tons of explosive warheads – to take our three mid-level Ukrainian military officers – seems very unsymmetrical.  Too unsymmetrical.

The weapons used to murder 22-plus innocent people

One of the overall personal observations or conclusions I have reached regarding the fighting prowess of the Russian forces – which too is reflected in the innate characteristics of the powerful political figure(s) back in Moscow pulling the strings – is that cowardice appears front and center.  Individual cowardice and institutional cowardice.

Aside from the abject failure that was the initial late-February invasion by the Russians, very few if any of the military actions conducted by the Russians since then involved any face-to-face, bayonet-to-bayonet conventional combat.

In contrast, nearly all of the Russian military attacks have been “long-distance”, that is, instead of confronting the enemy head-on, be they civilian or military, the Russians have pressed buttons and pulled strings on their weapons of mass death from hundreds of miles away, if not thousands of miles away.  Some military analysts may claim that this is smart – it’s Russia’s way of killing many without sacrificing any of their own – but I call it cowardice.

After all, how hard is it to kills dozens of people, when all you have to do is press a button?  As opposed of having to put human beings in your crosshairs and watching as the round tears through their body?  Or more up-close-and-personal, as opposed to driving a bayonet into your enemy at close range?

The Murder Weapon: Three Kalibr (SS-N-30A) LACM (Land attack cruise missiles)

Submarine variant: 3M-14K
Length: 20’
Payload: 1,000-pound warhead
Range: up to 2,000 miles
Propulsion:  Turbojet, multi-stage solid-fuel
First use in combat: 2015, Syria
Speed:  0.8-3.0 Mach
Accuracy: 150’

In the Vinnytsya tragedy, that’s all it took.  To be precise, all it took was someone in a Russian submarine or frigate, far off in the Black Sea, pressing enough buttons to send five Kalibr cruise missiles in the direction of the Vinnytsya city center.  Not present was the ability to look any of your victims in the eyes during their last seconds alive, absent were their cries of pain, gone was the blood and brain splatter that routinely gathers on the uniform of soldiers fighting in close combat.

All it took was pressing a button.

Launched from several hundred miles away, it only took a couple minutes for the five missiles to streak through the Ukrainian airspace.  Two of those Kalibr cruise missiles fell prey to Ukraine’s aerial defense system but three would find their mark.

The target: the scene of the mass murder

Deep in the bowels of the launch vehicle in the Black Sea, the coordinates of the intended target were set at 49.233083 degrees latitude, and 28.468217 degrees longitude – which was the heart of this bustling, previously “safe” city.

The accomplices to this murder back in Moscow knew that the heart of a city at ten-o’clock in the morning would offer the opportunity for a large number of intended targets.  Businesspeople hustling to their next meeting, merchants putting out their wares…and mothers pushing strollers on this warm sunny summer day.

The Russian targeting was spot-on as the three Kalibr missiles that evaded the Ukrainian aerial defense system streaked lower as they approached the bustling center of the city.  Perhaps some of the victims heard the incoming screech of the now sub-sonic missile.

Others in their last seconds alive probably saw a blistering-bright heat-flash of detonation.  Some of them assuredly felt their bodies being either ripped in half (those were the lucky ones for their death came quickly), or those more unfortunate felt their body being shredded by the red-hot metal fragments that the explosion sent flying in all directions.

All three missiles detonated within a radius of no more than 500 feet, effectively destroying two large buildings, one was a Soviet-era concert hall, the other a large, mixed-use building that included a medical center, offices, store fronts and numerous residential apartments.

One fact that I have not been able to validate is if there were any legitimate military targets of any kind located here in the Vinnytsia city center.  The Russians claim that at the time of the attack, several high-ranking Ukrainian Air Force officers were meeting in the concert hall.  It is true, three Ukrainian Air Force officers were listed among the dead.  But even that, even if three military officers were being targeted, that would mean that the other 22-plus dead and more than 100 injured were “collateral damage”, and that itself is unacceptable.

The scene of total devastation 24 hours after the attack

The Murder Victims

On the very day we visited Vinnytsia – July 20th – government officials reported that 20-year-old Olha Lysenko had just died in the hospital, bringing the death toll of this Russian attack to 26.  Olha was returning to her apartment in Vinnytsia’s Peremohy Square from an appointment at her dentist when the three missiles impacted, leaving her with fatal burns over 98% of her body.  One can only imagine how brutally painful those last six days of Olha’s life were.

CONTINUED IN PART II

Tip of the Spear Part 2

Another Commentary Coming from

An American in Ukraine

by Dr. E. C. Olson, Mission Director

“The Tip of the Spear’ of Humanitarian, Medical and Military Aid along “The Zero Line” in Southwestern Ukraine
Part 2 of 2

Amid the tense, managed chaos that is life on the front lines of the largest and most consequential war in Europe since World War II, battlefield friendships were quickly made and even quicker to become a bond that will persist long after this war is over.

On a personal note, in a fitting culmination to my service to Ukraine, I found a home in the front lines camp of “The Blue Dogs” and formed a lasting brotherhood with the courageous patriots of this Ukrainian anti-tank company. In the short time we were together, differences in native tongues, culture and customs became inconsequential, as a shared mission of delivering humanitarian aid and defeating the invaders became our shared destiny, which spanned personal survival and national identity all in one.

Ukraine and America: May this bond bring a quick end to this brutal war and persist long after the war is won and Ukraine is rebuilt.

 

Since in our reporting we aren’t sharing any information that could identify any individual Ukrainian soldier or any Ukrainian military units, and since we do not want to describe any of these troops’ locations or their battle plans, in this article I will focus instead on the personal connections we made and the relationships that we forged. And by letting the photographs (censored for safety) tell the story, I hope that you will get a better sense of who these courageous patriots are, for they define nearly all Ukrainians, which not so surprisingly, are very much like all Americans.

To begin with, in my humble opinion they are the best soldiers imaginable, possibly the finest fighting force in the entire world, and individually they are brave beyond belief, as loyal as any patriots could possibly be, and likewise dedicated to the cause of reclaiming their entire nation and maintaining their free and open democracy. In other words, they are as American as any foreigner could possibly be, and their ideals, courage and fortitude remind me of our own Revolutionary War soldiers, our Minutemen, who left normal lives to fight and defeat an oppressive foreign dictator – here in Ukraine, these brave citizen soldiers are fighting both the Russian military and the wanton criminals that are posing as Russian troops. They merit our support, they have earned our respect, and we are blessed to have them as our allies and especially as our friends.

We found ourselves on the front lines of this war for one reason:  That is where the neediest of Ukrainians are, so we were living up to our primary Mission Goal of “providing the most-needed aid to the neediest of Ukrainians”.  The fact that we accomplished this dangerous without incurring any injuries was a testament to our “Mission bodyguards”, the Ukrainian anti-tank company that we were imbedded with.

Here I am with four of The Blue Dogs that I went on patrol with

The Blue Dogs’ Company Insignia Flag

And another flag hand-made by their mothers and wives back home

Our military liaison from Governor Kim’s office, Lilia Bondarenko

Who helped us acquire one ton of medical supplies for delivery to front line Field Hospitals…

…and another ton of humanitarian supplies, which The Blue Dogs helped us deliver to small villages along the front lines.

The Blue Dogs also assisted me in accomplishing another Mission objective, to conduct comprehensive fact-finding to determine if the current Western military aid is what’s truly needed most by these front-line soldiers.  Here is one that is meeting those vital needs, a shoulder-fire anti-tank weapon.

They also helped me with another aspect of our fact-finding, which was to ascertain and document the prevalence of war crimes being committed against civilian Ukrainians, which we did while also doing our best to treat those hurt the most by Russian genocide

Even several miles back from the front lines we saw evidence of Russian forces by-passing military targets to intentionally hit civilian targets, such as this apartment building on the outskirts of Mykoliav.

Even after serving for five brutal months on the front lines, the men of The Blue Dogs displayed spirited energy for each and every mission, proudly fighting for Ukraine’s freedom from daily oppression at the hands of the military criminals led by an evil communist dictator

In doing so, they earned my upmost respect and admiration, but above all else that I will treasure from my time in Ukraine, was the comradery and friendships that we formed in our short time together, and these brave men certainly taught me the true meaning of A Band of Brothers

Please keep these courageous Ukrainian soldiers in your thoughts and prayers – they need it, and they definitely treasure it, in fact they were repeatedly overwhelmed by our support, often finding it hard to comprehend this degree of support.

 As “Ivan”, a plumber in his former peacetime life told me as our hug lingered in our last day together, “we are so honored that you Americans would come halfway around the world and all the way to the front lines just to help us and our people – as no one else has ever done – shows what a great nation America is, and you and your people shall forever live in the hearts of the Ukrainian people.  Slava Ukraini and Slava Americanski!”